Prediction Markets

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Ken Paxton

John Cornyn

Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory

Ken Paxton, 20%+

Ken Paxton, 10-15%

California Governor primary advancers? (Person)

Xavier Becerra

Tom Steyer

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Byron Donalds

James Fishback

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Ed Gallrein, 5-10%

Ed Gallrein, 10-15%

VA-08 Democratic nominee?

Don Beyer

Mo Seifeldein

FL-16 Republican nominee?

Sydney Gruters

Ed Pope

Georgia Republican Governor nominee?

Burt Jones

Rick Jackson

Los Angeles mayoral election: Spencer Pratt vote percent (1st round)

At least 30%

At least 35%

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?

Barry Moore

Jared Hudson

California Governor primary: 1st place

Xavier Becerra

Steve Hilton

2026 Texas Senate matchup?

Talarico vs. Paxton

Talarico vs. Cornyn

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Abdul El-Sayed

Mallory McMorrow

WA-03 primary: who will advance?

John Braun

Lawrence Kellogg

FL-24 Democratic nominee?

Shevrin Jones

Oliver Gilbert

CT-03 Republican nominee?

Christopher Lancia

Rafael Irizarry

Maine Democratic Senate nominee?

Graham Platner

Andrea LaFlamme

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

Brad Smith

Kortney Oldham

California Governor matchup?

Xavier Becerra vs. Steve Hilton

Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer

Georgia Republican Senate nominee?

Mike Collins

Derek Dooley

CT-02 Republican nominee?

George Austin

Sean Randall

FL-13 Democratic nominee?

Leela Gray

Earle Ford

Los Angeles mayor matchup

Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt

Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass

VA-07 Republican nominee?

Doug Ollivant

Philip Harding

Texas Republican Attorney General nominee?

Mayes Middleton

No

Chip Roy

MA-01 Democratic nominee?

Richard Neal

Jeromie Whalen

VA-01 Democratic nominee?

Shannon Taylor

Ericka Kopp

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

3

7 or more

MO-04 Democratic nominee?

Hartzell Gray 3rd

Ashleigh Rogers

South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?

Dusty Johnson

Toby Doeden

NY-12 Democratic nominee?

Micah Lasher

Alex Bores

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

At least 10%

At least 20%

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